Option of offensive against Iran via Azerbaijan to have some principal advantage

Sat 28 August 2010 06:59 GMT | 11:59 Local Time

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Vladimir Khrustalev

News.Az interviews Vladimir Khrustalev, expert of Moscow Maritime State University named after admiral G.I.Novelskiy.

What can you say about the doubts of some Western countries in the peaceful use of the nuclear power plant in Bushehr?

It is just a propaganda.

Can Israel execute its threat to attack this nuclear power station if there are signs of its use by Iran in anti-Israeli purposes?

It can attack maximum some secondary units of the nuclear power station for the reactor to switch off automatically. It is more comfortable to bomb the energy distribution lines and substations for the reactors of nuclear powers to switch off due to the impossibility of quick release of power. So there is no attack on nuclear power plant, but it was destroyed and Iranians will have enough problems with repeated launching. In addition, this will cause significant fault of generating capacities of Iranian power.

What is the possibility of the military intervention of Israel and the United States to Iran in the nearest future?


It is hard to assess it. But if it is adopted, it will happen before the strike. There are still no unambiguous signs of its being adopted in open sources. Even if there is a preparation, it will be conducted maximally secretly, since most elements of the grouping of powers and means will be available for the Iranian army.

Anyway, technical readiness in Israel is obvious and when politicians say the army will execute the command. The United States is also passing to the rhetoric of mentioning the armed solution, but this is primarily psychological pressure so far.

What can Russia do to avert the forced scenario against Iran?

It can hardly take anything effective. Not only Israel resists Iran along with the United States. This is the overall position of the west: the difference is just in the agreement or non-agreement with the military script. This is the position of not only the west. For example, the Persian gulf countries, Bahrain and Arab Emirates of the local military bloc have enough differences.

Which implications can the war in Iran have for neighbor countries, including Azerbaijan?


It can cause economic and environmental implications but only if Azerbaijan does not interfere.

Official Baku has made it clear to the American side that it won’t allow using its territory for anti-Iranian purposes. Can there appear such circumstances when the United States will try to put pressure on Azerbaijan to incline in to its side?

Yes, if in the process of military planning the variant of strikes via Azerbaijani air space or with the use of its territory has some principal advantages. Meanwhile, alternative options will be less attractive but it is extremely unlikely, considering the location of the proposed targets of strikes.

U.U.
News.Az

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